Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Goodbys Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016724 ·
Duval, FL · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Goodbys neighborhood of Jacksonville, census tract 12031016724 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,342 a month against an average household income of $65,815 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 43%Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,883
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$65,815
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Goodbys
Very High
Within parent city
59th percentile
#86 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Elevated
Within county
58th percentile
#92 of 218 tracts In Duval
Elevated
Within state
72th percentile
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2135, -81.6102 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goodbys scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Goodbys compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
75%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,605Total filings over 10 yrs
11.28%Avg annual filing rate
17.5%Peak (2009)
97Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2016
Filings dropped 16% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
650Total filings 2020-21
8.4Avg monthly (observed)
10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,605 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 11.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.5% of renter households in 2009.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016724
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016724?
Census tract 12031016724 in the Goodbys neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016724?
Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016724?
16.6% of residents in tract 12031016724 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016724?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 27th, minority 64th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016724 considered part of Goodbys?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016724 fall within Goodbys (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016724?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,605 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016724 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.28% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016724 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016724 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016724 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.