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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Goodbys Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031016724 · Duval, FL · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

12031016724 is a census tract in the Goodbys area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 43% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,883
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$65,815

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Goodbys
Very High
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 218 tracts In Duval
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#2,414 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2135, -81.6102 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goodbys scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Goodbys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goodbys risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0167243.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,605Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 11.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak (2009)
  • 97Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031016724
Filings dropped 16% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 650Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Goodbys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goodbys

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,605 evictions over 10 years of observation. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Duval County average of 49.2%.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 17.5% of renter households. At $1,342 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.

In a typical year about 11.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $65,815.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031016724

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016724?

Census tract 12031016724 in the Goodbys neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031016724?

Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016724?

16.6% of residents in tract 12031016724 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016724?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 27th, minority 64th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 12031016724 considered part of Goodbys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016724 fall within Goodbys (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016724?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,605 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016724 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.28% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031016724 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031016724 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031016724 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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