Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Goodbys Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016731 · Duval, FL · pop 5,205 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12031016731 belongs to the Goodbys neighborhood of Jacksonville, Florida. It is home to 5,205 residents and scores 4.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,236 a month against an average household income of $54,750 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,476
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$54,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1963, -81.6077 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goodbys scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Goodbys compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 461Total filings 2020-21
- 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Goodbys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goodbys
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.66x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016731
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016731?
Census tract 12031016731 in the Goodbys neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016731?
Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016731?
11.8% of residents in tract 12031016731 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,205.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016731?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 73th, minority 64th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016731 considered part of Goodbys?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016731 fall within Goodbys (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016731 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031016731 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016731 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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