Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Loretto Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016807 · Duval, FL · pop 4,167 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Loretto neighborhood of Jacksonville anchors census tract 12031016807, which lands at 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #59,247 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,397 monthly, set against $76,029 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$76,029
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1648, -81.6153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Loretto scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Loretto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 250Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2007)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 190Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Loretto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Loretto
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 250 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016807?
Census tract 12031016807 in the Loretto neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016807?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016807?
13.0% of residents in tract 12031016807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,167.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 80th, minority 49th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016807 considered part of Loretto?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016807 fall within Loretto (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016807?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016807 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016807 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016807 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016807 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related