Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Loretto Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016807 · Duval, FL · pop 4,167 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 12031016807 in the Loretto area of Jacksonville, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,167 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$76,029
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1648, -81.6153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Loretto scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Loretto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 250Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2007)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 190Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Loretto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Loretto
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Duval County average of 49.2%. The filing record is not thin: 250 evictions over 10 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 8.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016807?
Census tract 12031016807 in the Loretto neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016807?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016807?
13.0% of residents in tract 12031016807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,167.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 80th, minority 49th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016807 considered part of Loretto?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016807 fall within Loretto (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016807?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016807 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016807 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016807 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016807 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related