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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Loretto Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

Tract 12031016727 · Duval, FL · pop 4,314 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 12031016727 in the Loretto area of Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,314. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 18% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,800
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$40,774

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Loretto
Very High
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 218 tracts In Duval
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.1810, -81.6161 · click any tract to drill in

Why Loretto scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Loretto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Loretto risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0167273.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 570Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 9.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.4%Peak (2007)
  • 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031016727
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 211Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Loretto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Loretto

Cost burden runs 65% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $40,774, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Court records carry 570 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 22.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031016727

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016727?

Census tract 12031016727 in the Loretto neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031016727?

Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016727?

13.1% of residents in tract 12031016727 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,314.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016727?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 94th, minority 46th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 12031016727 considered part of Loretto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016727 fall within Loretto (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016727?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 570 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016727 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.54% of renter households, peaking at 22.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031016727 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031016727 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031016727 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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