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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Loretto Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031016808 · Duval, FL · pop 4,176 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 12031016808 sits in the Loretto area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 23% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,639
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$66,474

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Loretto
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#121 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Moderate
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#127 of 218 tracts In Duval
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.1702, -81.6231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Loretto scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,524 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Loretto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Loretto risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0168083.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 446Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 5.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak (2010)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031016808
Filings dropped 65% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 317Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Loretto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Loretto

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Duval County average of 49.2%. Court records carry 446 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2010, when 8.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031016808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016808?

Census tract 12031016808 in the Loretto neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031016808?

Median gross rent is $1,524/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016808?

9.2% of residents in tract 12031016808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,176.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 46th, minority 54th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 12031016808 considered part of Loretto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016808 fall within Loretto (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016808?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 446 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.45% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031016808 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031016808 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031016808 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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