Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Loretto Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016808 · Duval, FL · pop 4,176 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12031016808 covers the Loretto area of Jacksonville, home to 4,176 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,524 a month while the average household earns $66,474 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,639
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$66,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1702, -81.6231 · click any tract to drill in
Why Loretto scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,524 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Loretto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 446Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2010)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 317Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Loretto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Loretto
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.54x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016808?
Census tract 12031016808 in the Loretto neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016808?
Median gross rent is $1,524/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016808?
9.2% of residents in tract 12031016808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,176.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 46th, minority 54th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016808 considered part of Loretto?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016808 fall within Loretto (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016808?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 446 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.45% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016808 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016808 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016808 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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