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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Loretto Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 12,657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.1–4.2

Loretto takes in 3 census tracts of Jacksonville, FL, population 12,657. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.5/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Jacksonville baseline of 32.8%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 4.2. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,266 across 3 observed tracts.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 22.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #19 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville. For a like-for-like read, Timberview and Avondale score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,471, close to the Jacksonville average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $60,860. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Loretto vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.3% +66%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,471 +0%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$60,860 -9%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
11.7% -22%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
50.0% +18%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Loretto and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.1–4.2

Why Loretto scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
11.7% below poverty line · Range 2.3–3.3 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.8 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Loretto vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Loretto score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5LorettoNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Loretto?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 3.1 to 4.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Loretto

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031016727 4.2 4,314 65% $1,490
12031016807 3.2 4,167 43% $1,397
12031016808 3.1 4,176 55% $1,524
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Loretto

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,266Total filings (sum)
  • 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.4%Peak year (2010)
  • 3.90%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 718Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly observed
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.15×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Loretto

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Loretto?

Loretto scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Loretto compare to Jacksonville overall?

Loretto scores 0.1 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,471 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in Loretto?

Average gross rent in Loretto is $1,471/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Loretto residents are renters?

50% of Loretto households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 12,657 residents.
Q5

Is Loretto a high social-vulnerability area?

Loretto sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Loretto have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Loretto is census tract 12031016727 (score 4.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.2, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Loretto for landlords?

Loretto carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Loretto?

Loretto has 12,765 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.8%), Hispanic / Latino (15.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Loretto

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Loretto.

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