Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Crest Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Town 'n' Country
Tract 12057011714 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,349 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3.6/10, tract 12057011714 in the Bay Crest Park area of Town 'n' Country, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,059
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$98,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Town 'n' Country and the region
Centroid at 27.9886, -82.5881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Crest Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,251 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
6.5
How Bay Crest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 35Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Crest Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Crest Park
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,251 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Town 'n' Country commands.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $98,068, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011714
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011714?
Census tract 12057011714 in the Bay Crest Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011714?
Median gross rent is $1,251/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011714?
11.0% of residents in tract 12057011714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,349.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011714?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 40th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011714 considered part of Bay Crest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011714 fall within Bay Crest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011714 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011714 compare to Town 'n' Country overall?
Tract 12057011714 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Town 'n' Country at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Town 'n' Country eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Town 'n' Country
Top eight tracts in Town 'n' Country ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Woodbridge Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Hamilton Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Rocky Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bellingham Oaks
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palm Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alfredo Trujillo
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Twelve Oaks Village
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holly Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related