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Neighborhood · Town 'n' Country, FL

Bay Crest Park Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,595 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.6–3.8

Bay Crest Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Town 'n' Country, FL and houses 7,595 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Town 'n' Country baseline of 32.3%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 680 evictions logged in this tract.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,519, 12% below the Town 'n' Country average of $1,734. Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 16.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 4.0% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Town 'n' Country, it ranks #14 by risk, the lower third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Timberlane and West Bay. Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Crest Park vs Town 'n' Country How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.5% +44%
Town 'n' Country: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,519 -12%
Town 'n' Country: $1,734
Average HH income
$90,996 +33%
Town 'n' Country: $68,350
Poverty rate
10.8% -11%
Town 'n' Country: 12.1%
Renter share
35.7% -10%
Town 'n' Country: 39.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Crest Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–3.8

Why Bay Crest Park scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.8 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–3.3 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Bay Crest Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bay Crest Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Bay Crest ParkNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bay Crest Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057011712 3.8 5,246 33% $1,639
12057011714 3.6 2,349 77% $1,251
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Crest Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 680Total filings (sum)
  • 8.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.9%Peak year (2003)
  • 4.04%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 400Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.6Avg monthly observed
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.06×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Bay Crest Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Crest Park?

Bay Crest Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bay Crest Park compare to Town 'n' Country overall?

Bay Crest Park scores 0.5 points lower than Town 'n' Country overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,519 vs $1,734.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bay Crest Park?

Average gross rent in Bay Crest Park is $1,519/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bay Crest Park residents are renters?

36% of Bay Crest Park households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Town 'n' Country). The neighborhood has 7,595 residents.
Q5

Is Bay Crest Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Crest Park sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bay Crest Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Crest Park is census tract 12057011712 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 3.8, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Bay Crest Park for landlords?

Bay Crest Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Town 'n' Country as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Crest Park?

Bay Crest Park has 7,791 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.2%), Hispanic / Latino (30.6%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Crest Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Town 'n' Country

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Crest Park.

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