Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Crest Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Town 'n' Country
Tract 12057011712 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,246 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is the Bay Crest Park area of Town 'n' Country for landlords? Census tract 12057011712 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 33% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,639 a month against an average household income of $87,829 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,418
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$87,829
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Town 'n' Country and the region
Centroid at 27.9855, -82.5769 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Crest Park scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Town 'n' Country
6.5
How Bay Crest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 680Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.9%Peak (2003)
- 45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 365Total filings 2020-21
- 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Crest Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Crest Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Town 'n' Country, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 680 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.9% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011712
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011712?
Census tract 12057011712 in the Bay Crest Park neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011712?
Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011712?
10.7% of residents in tract 12057011712 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,246.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011712?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 12th, minority 68th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011712 considered part of Bay Crest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011712 fall within Bay Crest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011712?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 680 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011712 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.90% of renter households, peaking at 16.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011712 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011712 compare to Town 'n' Country overall?
Tract 12057011712 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Town 'n' Country at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Town 'n' Country eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Town 'n' Country
Top eight tracts in Town 'n' Country ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Woodbridge Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Hamilton Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Rocky Creek
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bellingham Oaks
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palm Bay
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Alfredo Trujillo
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Twelve Oaks Village
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Holly Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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