Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Angel Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057012210 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,916 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12057012210 covers Angel Run in Valrico in Florida. Home to 5,916 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,188 a month while the average household earns $76,784 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$76,784
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9437, -82.2382 · click any tract to drill in
Why Angel Run scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,188 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Angel Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2000)
- 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 161Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Angel Run
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valrico, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 7.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.4% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012210
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012210?
Census tract 12057012210 in the Angel Run neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012210?
Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012210?
11.5% of residents in tract 12057012210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,916.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012210?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 72th, minority 71th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12057012210 considered part of Angel Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012210 fall within Angel Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012210?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012210 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012210 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057012210 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057012210 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Valrico at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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