Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Twin Lakes of Brandon Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013207 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,491 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Here is how census tract 12057013207, in the Twin Lakes of Brandon neighborhood of Valrico, looks to a landlord: a 4.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,491. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,674 a month while the average household earns $122,656 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$122,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9148, -82.2071 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twin Lakes of Brandon scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Twin Lakes of Brandon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 98Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.5%Peak (2002)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 53Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Twin Lakes of Brandon
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valrico, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.95x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 98 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.5% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013207?
Census tract 12057013207 in the Twin Lakes of Brandon neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013207?
Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013207?
7.9% of residents in tract 12057013207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 9th, minority 42th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013207 considered part of Twin Lakes of Brandon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013207 fall within Twin Lakes of Brandon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013207?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.93% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013207 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013207 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057013207 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Valrico at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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