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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandon

Tract 12057013310 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,311 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Sterling Ranch in Brandon is where census tract 12057013310 sits, home to 2,311 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,012 monthly, set against $101,591 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$101,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Sterling Ranch
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#235 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#3,511 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9094, -82.3100 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sterling Ranch scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,012 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Sterling Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sterling Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 013310Brandon: 2.42.4Brandonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 138Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2003)
  • 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570133102000: 5 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2001: 6 filings (2.03/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (5.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (8.14/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 8 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (5.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (4.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 280% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 117Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sterling Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sterling Ranch

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 138 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.1% of renter households in 2003.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013310

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013310?

Census tract 12057013310 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013310?

Median gross rent is $2,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013310?

7.3% of residents in tract 12057013310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,311.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013310?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 16th, minority 63th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013310 considered part of Sterling Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013310 fall within Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013310?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013310 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.95% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013310 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013310 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013310 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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