Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon
Tract 12057013323 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 11,385 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
12057013323 is a census tract in the Sterling Ranch area of Brandon, FL. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 11,385. Cost burden runs 38% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units4,335
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$79,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9186, -82.3102 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling Ranch scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Sterling Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 811Total filings 2020-21
- 11.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sterling Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sterling Ranch
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,754, close to the Brandon average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,969. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013323
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013323?
Census tract 12057013323 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013323?
Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013323?
13.5% of residents in tract 12057013323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013323?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 78th, minority 79th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013323 considered part of Sterling Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013323 fall within Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013323 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057013323 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013323 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sixmile Creek
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Allendale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Sterling Ranch
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mariposa
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Allendale
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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