Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandon
Tract 12057013323 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 11,385 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Sterling Ranch area of Brandon, census tract 12057013323 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,754 monthly, set against $79,969 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units4,335
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$79,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9186, -82.3102 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling Ranch scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Sterling Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 811Total filings 2020-21
- 11.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sterling Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sterling Ranch
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.13x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013323
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013323?
Census tract 12057013323 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013323?
Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013323?
13.5% of residents in tract 12057013323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013323?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 78th, minority 79th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013323 considered part of Sterling Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013323 fall within Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013323 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057013323 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013323 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sixmile Creek
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Allendale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Sterling Ranch
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mariposa
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Allendale
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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