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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon

Tract 12057013317 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,753 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 12057013317 covers part of the Sterling Ranch area of Brandon, FL, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 42% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$67,757

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Sterling Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#879 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9172, -82.3411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sterling Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,863 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Sterling Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sterling Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0133174.3Brandonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 329Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2016)
  • 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013317
Filings climbed 139% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 332Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sterling Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sterling Ranch

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $67,757, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 329 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013317?

Census tract 12057013317 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013317?

Median gross rent is $1,863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013317?

18.5% of residents in tract 12057013317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,753.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 6th, minority 69th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013317 considered part of Sterling Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013317 fall within Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.34% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013317 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013317 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013317 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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