Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon
Tract 12057013317 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,753 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 12057013317 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood of Brandon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,753 residents. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,863 a month while the average household earns $67,757 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 99% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$67,757
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9172, -82.3411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling Ranch scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,863 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Sterling Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 329Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2016)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 139% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 332Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sterling Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sterling Ranch
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.95x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013317
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013317?
Census tract 12057013317 in the Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013317?
Median gross rent is $1,863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013317?
18.5% of residents in tract 12057013317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,753.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013317?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 6th, minority 69th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013317 considered part of Sterling Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013317 fall within Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013317?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.34% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013317 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013317 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013317 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sixmile Creek
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Allendale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mariposa
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Allendale
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Alexandria Place
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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