Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Alafia Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Riverview
Tract 12057013412 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,175 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up Alafia Cove in Riverview, census tract 12057013412 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,691 a month while the average household earns $98,438 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 16%Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$98,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Alafia Cove
Moderate
Within parent city
60th percentile
#7 of 16 tracts In Riverview
Elevated
Within county
22th percentile
#259 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
23th percentile
#3,967 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Riverview and the region
Centroid at 27.8667, -82.3118 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alafia Cove scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Riverview
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Riverview
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Riverview
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Riverview
6.0
How Alafia Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
127Total filings over 11 yrs
6.99%Avg annual filing rate
8.6%Peak (2009)
17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
134Total filings 2020-21
1.8Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.24×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alafia Cove
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Riverview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 127 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.6% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013412?
Census tract 12057013412 in the Alafia Cove neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013412?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013412?
11.1% of residents in tract 12057013412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,175.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 60th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013412 considered part of Alafia Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013412 fall within Alafia Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013412 compare to Riverview overall?
Tract 12057013412 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Riverview at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Riverview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Riverview
Top eight tracts in Riverview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.