Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Alafia Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Riverview
Tract 12057013412 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,175 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 12057013412 in the Alafia Cove area of Riverview, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,175. Cost burden runs 29% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$98,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Riverview and the region
Centroid at 27.8667, -82.3118 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alafia Cove scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Riverview
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Riverview
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Riverview
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Riverview
6.0
How Alafia Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2009)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 134Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alafia Cove
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,691, 16% below the Riverview average. Court records carry 127 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2009 at 8.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013412?
Census tract 12057013412 in the Alafia Cove neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013412?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013412?
11.1% of residents in tract 12057013412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,175.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 60th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013412 considered part of Alafia Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013412 fall within Alafia Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013412 compare to Riverview overall?
Tract 12057013412 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Riverview at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Riverview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Riverview
Top eight tracts in Riverview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Winthrop
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alafia Oaks
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Colonial Hills
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Winthrop Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Aberdeen Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
Related