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Neighborhood · Riverview, FL

Alafia Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,175 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Alafia Cove is a one-tract neighborhood of Riverview, FL, population 4,175. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records for this tract carry 127 eviction filings.

Average gross rent is $1,691, 16% below the Riverview average of $2,002. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. 29% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, marginally below the Riverview rate of 32.7%.

The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 8.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.0% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Riverview, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Colonial Hills and Aberdeen Creek score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $98,438.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Alafia Cove vs Riverview How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.3% -10%
Riverview: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,691 -16%
Riverview: $2,002
Average HH income
$98,438 +3%
Riverview: $95,442
Poverty rate
11.1% +42%
Riverview: 7.8%
Renter share
22.0% -9%
Riverview: 24.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafia Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Alafia Cove scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Alafia Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Alafia Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Alafia CoveNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Alafia Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057013412 3.4 4,175 29% $1,691
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Alafia Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 127Total filings (sum)
  • 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.6%Peak year (2009)
  • 4.02%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 134Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.24×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Alafia Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Alafia Cove?

Alafia Cove scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Alafia Cove compare to Riverview overall?

Alafia Cove scores 0.6 points lower than Riverview overall (4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,691 vs $2,002.
Q3

What is the average rent in Alafia Cove?

Average gross rent in Alafia Cove is $1,691/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Alafia Cove residents are renters?

22% of Alafia Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Riverview). The neighborhood has 4,175 residents.
Q5

Is Alafia Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Alafia Cove sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Alafia Cove for landlords?

Alafia Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Riverview as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Alafia Cove?

Alafia Cove has 4,474 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.8%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alafia Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Riverview

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alafia Cove.

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