Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Oakland Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Miami
Tract 12086001205 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,438 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
12086001205 is a census tract in the Oakland Grove area of Miami Shores, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units882
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$128,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.8709, -80.1831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakland Grove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,778 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
6.4
How Oakland Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 13%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2015)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 24Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakland Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakland Grove
At $1,778 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Miami Shores commands. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 47% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
It sits 1.6 points below the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 2 observed years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 9.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086001205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086001205?
Census tract 12086001205 in the Oakland Grove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086001205?
Median gross rent is $1,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086001205?
12.0% of residents in tract 12086001205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,438.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086001205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 12086001205 considered part of Oakland Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086001205 fall within Oakland Grove (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086001205?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086001205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.92% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086001205 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086001205 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086001205 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086001205 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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