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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Miami Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12086003919 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,536 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Miami Beach

Census tract 12086003919 covers part of Miami Beach, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,536. Average gross rent is $2,850, 56% above the Miami Beach average.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 17% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,262
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$97,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#332 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region

Centroid at 25.8211, -80.1215 · click any tract to drill in

Why Miami Beach scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,850 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6

How Miami Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Miami Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 003919Miami Beach: 5.95.9Miami Beachparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak (2015)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 18Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (2.41× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Miami Beach

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $97,167 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Cost burden runs 48% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 22.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 2.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003919

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003919?

Census tract 12086003919 in Miami Beach scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003919?

Median gross rent is $2,850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003919?

7.4% of residents in tract 12086003919 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003919?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 76th, minority 71th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003919?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003919 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003919 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086003919 compare to Miami Beach overall?

Tract 12086003919 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086003919 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach

Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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