Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
South Beach Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004404 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,127 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 12086004404 in the South Beach area of Miami Beach, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,127 residents. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 42%Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,464
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$40,744
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 6 tracts In South Beach
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Very High
Within county
97th percentile
#22 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#6 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7775, -80.1314 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Beach scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,274 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How South Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
97%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
9%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
51Total filings over 2 yrs
2.58%Avg annual filing rate
2.9%Peak (2015)
22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
113Total filings 2020-21
1.6Avg monthly (observed)
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $40,744, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $1,274 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Miami Beach commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.8/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Court records carry 51 eviction filings across 2 observed years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004404?
Census tract 12086004404 in the South Beach neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004404?
Median gross rent is $1,274/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004404?
35.0% of residents in tract 12086004404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,127.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 79th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004404 considered part of South Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004404 fall within South Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.58% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086004404 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004404 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086004404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.