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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay

Tract 12086010620 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,973 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

12086010620 is a census tract in the Crystal Cay area of Cutler Bay, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,973. 61% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 2% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units995
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate0.1%
Median income$110,766

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Crystal Cay
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 13 tracts In Cutler Bay
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#658 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region

Centroid at 25.5646, -80.3380 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Cay scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.8

How Crystal Cay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Cay risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0106204.1Cutler Bayparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay

87% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 77% above the Cutler Bay average. The voucher gap is 50.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $110,766 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.6 points below the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010620

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010620?

Census tract 12086010620 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010620?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010620?

0.1% of residents in tract 12086010620 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010620?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 52th, minority 89th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010620 considered part of Crystal Cay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010620 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010620 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086010620 compare to Cutler Bay overall?

Tract 12086010620 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay

Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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