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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Garden Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12095017302 · Orange, FL · pop 8,339 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12095017302 in the Winter Garden area of Winter Garden, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,339. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 20% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,980
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$72,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winter Garden
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Winter Garden
High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#148 of 267 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region

Centroid at 28.5564, -81.5934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Garden scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,431 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1

How Winter Garden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Garden risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0173024.0Winter Gardenparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Garden

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,431, 27% below the Winter Garden average.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Against Orange County at 51.4%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $72,317.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095017302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017302?

Census tract 12095017302 in the Winter Garden neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095017302?

Median gross rent is $1,431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017302?

8.8% of residents in tract 12095017302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,339.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 96th, minority 78th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 12095017302 considered part of Winter Garden?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017302 fall within Winter Garden (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12095017302 compare to Winter Garden overall?

Tract 12095017302 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Winter Garden at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden

Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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