Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Maggiore Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020600 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,350 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Lake Maggiore Shores in St. Petersburg is where census tract 12103020600 sits, home to 4,350 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,525 a month while the average household earns $68,318 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,462
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$68,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7472, -82.6548 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Maggiore Shores scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,525 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Lake Maggiore Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 56%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,020Total filings over 18 yrs
- 11.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.5%Peak (2014)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 274Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Maggiore Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Maggiore Shores
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.63x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020600?
Census tract 12103020600 in the Lake Maggiore Shores neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020600?
Median gross rent is $1,525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020600?
8.1% of residents in tract 12103020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,350.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 13th, minority 90th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020600 considered part of Lake Maggiore Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020600 fall within Lake Maggiore Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,020 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.81% of renter households, peaking at 21.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020600 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020600 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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