Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Maggiore Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020600 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,350 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 12103020600 covers part of the Lake Maggiore Shores area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,350 residents. 55% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,462
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$68,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7472, -82.6548 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Maggiore Shores scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,525 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Lake Maggiore Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 56%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,020Total filings over 18 yrs
- 11.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.5%Peak (2014)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 274Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Maggiore Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Maggiore Shores
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,020 filings here across 18 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 21.5% of renter households. At $1,525 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $68,318. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020600?
Census tract 12103020600 in the Lake Maggiore Shores neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020600?
Median gross rent is $1,525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020600?
8.1% of residents in tract 12103020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,350.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 13th, minority 90th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020600 considered part of Lake Maggiore Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020600 fall within Lake Maggiore Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,020 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.81% of renter households, peaking at 21.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020600 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020600 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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