Within parent city
40
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
St. Petersburg Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103020207 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,823
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12103020207 (St. Petersburg in Pinellas County, Florida) comes in at 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,352 a month while the average household earns $79,861 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$79,861
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.6769, -82.6779 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Petersburg scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How St. Petersburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 433Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2002)
- 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 169Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Petersburg
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 433 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.24x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020207?
Census tract 12103020207 in St. Petersburg scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020207?
Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020207?
9.0% of residents in tract 12103020207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,823.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 19th, minority 56th, housing 42th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020207?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 433 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020207 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103020207 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020207 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103020207 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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