Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Historic Old Northeast Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023602 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,368 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12103023602 sits in the Historic Old Northeast area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 1,368 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units845
Renter share70.5%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$83,523
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7832, -82.6332 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic Old Northeast scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Historic Old Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 45%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 35Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Historic Old Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic Old Northeast
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10.
It sits 0.7 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Average gross rent is $1,563, close to the St. Petersburg average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $83,523.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023602?
Census tract 12103023602 in the Historic Old Northeast neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023602?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023602?
8.9% of residents in tract 12103023602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,368.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 37th, minority 11th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023602 considered part of Historic Old Northeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023602 fall within Historic Old Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103023602 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023602 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103023602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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