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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Old Northeast Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103023700 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,449 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 12103023700 sits in the Historic Old Northeast area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,449 residents. Cost burden runs 70% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 11% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$109,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Historic Old Northeast
Very Low
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#75 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#271 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7878, -82.6256 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Old Northeast scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Historic Old Northeast compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Old Northeast risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0237003.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 79Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103023700
Filings dropped 75% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Historic Old Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Old Northeast

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $1,172 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Court records carry 79 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 4.9% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $109,167, annual rent is just 13%.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103023700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023700?

Census tract 12103023700 in the Historic Old Northeast neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103023700?

Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023700?

3.7% of residents in tract 12103023700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,449.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 28th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 12103023700 considered part of Historic Old Northeast?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023700 fall within Historic Old Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12103023700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103023700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103023700 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103023700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103023700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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