Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Historic Old Northeast Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023700 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,449 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Historic Old Northeast area of St. Petersburg, census tract 12103023700 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,172 a month against an average household income of $109,167 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$109,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7878, -82.6256 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic Old Northeast scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Historic Old Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 21%Grade A
- 63%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 79Total filings over 17 yrs
- 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 7Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Historic Old Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic Old Northeast
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023700?
Census tract 12103023700 in the Historic Old Northeast neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023700?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023700?
3.7% of residents in tract 12103023700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,449.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 28th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023700 considered part of Historic Old Northeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023700 fall within Historic Old Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12103023700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103023700 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023700 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103023700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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