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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole

Tract 12103025121 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,188 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 12103025121 sits in the Buena Vista area of Pinellas County, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,188. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$103,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Buena Vista
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#238 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Centroid at 27.8494, -82.8161 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buena Vista scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seminole
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.0

How Buena Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Buena Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0251213.7Seminoleparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 300Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 9.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.2%Peak (2007)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103025121
Filings dropped 83% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 32Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 300 evictions over 18 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2007, when 21.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent runs $2,183 a month. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $103,662.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025121

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025121?

Census tract 12103025121 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025121?

Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025121?

6.1% of residents in tract 12103025121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,188.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025121?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 37th, minority 27th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025121 considered part of Buena Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025121 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025121?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025121 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.39% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025121 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025121 compare to Seminole overall?

Tract 12103025121 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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