Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,470 of 84,120 nationally
Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole
Tract 12103025121 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,188 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 12103025121 in the Buena Vista neighborhood of Seminole ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,188 residents. On the national scale it ranks #73,658 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,183 a month while the average household earns $103,662 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$103,662
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8494, -82.8161 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buena Vista scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.0
How Buena Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 300Total filings over 18 yrs
- 9.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.2%Peak (2007)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 32Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 300 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.2% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025121?
Census tract 12103025121 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025121?
Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025121?
6.1% of residents in tract 12103025121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,188.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 37th, minority 27th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025121 considered part of Buena Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025121 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025121?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025121 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.39% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025121 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025121 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025121 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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