Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole
Tract 12103025110 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,431 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12103025110 covers part of the Buena Vista area of Seminole, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,431. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,228
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$112,851
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8347, -82.8145 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buena Vista scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,783 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Buena Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 591Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2004)
- 26Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 90Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. The filing record is not thin: 591 evictions over 18 years of observation.
It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2004 at 12.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025110
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025110?
Census tract 12103025110 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025110?
Median gross rent is $1,783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025110?
3.0% of residents in tract 12103025110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,431.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025110?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 49th, minority 28th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025110 considered part of Buena Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025110 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025110?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 591 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025110 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.25% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025110 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025110 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025110 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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