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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole

Tract 12103025120 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,909 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 12103025120 in the Buena Vista area of Seminole, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,909 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share1.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$118,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Buena Vista
Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Seminole
Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#237 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Centroid at 27.8601, -82.8103 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buena Vista scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3

How Buena Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Buena Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0251203.7Seminoleparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103025120

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 10Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Court records carry 27 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025120

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025120?

Census tract 12103025120 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025120?

1.3% of residents in tract 12103025120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,909.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025120?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 57th, minority 11th, housing 50th.
Q4

Is tract 12103025120 considered part of Buena Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025120 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025120?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12103025120 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025120 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103025120 compare to Seminole overall?

Tract 12103025120 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seminole

Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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