Neighborhood · Seminole, FL

Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 20,575 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 1.5–3.7

Buena Vista is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Seminole with 5 census tracts and a population of 20,575 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,430/month sits 16% lower than the Seminole citywide average ($1,708).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Buena Vista vs Seminole How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.4% +24%

Seminole: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$1,430 -16%

Seminole: $1,708

Average HH income

$96,103 +24%

Seminole: $77,335

Poverty rate

5.4% -35%

Seminole: 8.3%

Renter share

15.8% -42%

Seminole: 27.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buena Vista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.5–3.7

Why Buena Vista scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 1.5–5.5 across tracts

4.5

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 1.5–6.1 across tracts

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–5.0 across tracts

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

16% renter households · Range 4.0–5.9 across tracts

5.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.3 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–6.0 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Buena Vista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Buena Vista?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.2 points from 1.5 to 3.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

3.7 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Buena Vista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103025111	3.7	2,888	81%	$1,396
12103025113	2.5	3,159	20%	$1,384
12103025121	2.2	5,188	30%	$2,183
12103025110	1.5	5,431	47%	$1,783
12103025120	1.5	3,909	43%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 55%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 22%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Buena Vista

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,071Total filings (sum)
5.12%Avg annual filing rate
21.2%Peak year (2010)
2.49%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

181Total filings 2020-21
0.6Avg monthly observed
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.98×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Buena Vista

What is the eviction-risk score for Buena Vista?

Buena Vista scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Buena Vista compare to Seminole overall?

Buena Vista scores 0.1 points lower than Seminole overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,430 vs $1,708.

What is the average rent in Buena Vista?

Average gross rent in Buena Vista is $1,430/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Buena Vista residents are renters?

16% of Buena Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Seminole). The neighborhood has 20,575 residents.

Is Buena Vista a high social-vulnerability area?

Buena Vista sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Buena Vista have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Buena Vista is census tract 12103025111 (score 3.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.5 to 3.7, a spread of 2.2 points.

How safe is Buena Vista for landlords?

Buena Vista carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seminole as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Buena Vista?

Buena Vista has 20,035 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Hispanic / Latino (5.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Buena Vista

2.9 Seminole Groves 4 tracts · pop 12,970 2.8 Seminole Village 4 tracts · pop 14,140 2.6 Palm Beach of Indian Shores 2 tracts · pop 5,198 2.4 Bardmoor 2 tracts · pop 10,467 4 Jungle Terrace 5 tracts · pop 15,018 3.6 The Lodges 3 tracts · pop 14,435

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Seminole

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Buena Vista.

2.5 Seminole 1 tracts · pop 3,356 2.6 Seminole Village 4 tracts · pop 14,140 3 Seminole Groves 4 tracts · pop 12,970

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