5 census tracts · pop 20,575 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10
· range 3–4.8
Buena Vista spans 5 census tracts of Seminole, FL, population 20,575. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.6/10.
42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Seminole rate of 34.1%. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.
15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,430, 16% below the Seminole average of $1,708.
Court records carry 1,071 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 21.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.
Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Seminole, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Against average income of $96,103, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
Buena Vista vs SeminoleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority22%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Buena Vista
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,071Total filings (sum)
5.12%Avg annual filing rate
21.2%Peak year (2010)
2.49%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
181Total filings 2020-21
0.6Avg monthly observed
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Buena Vista
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Buena Vista?
Buena Vista scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Buena Vista compare to Seminole overall?
Buena Vista scores 0.4 points lower than Seminole overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,430 vs $1,708.
Q3
What is the average rent in Buena Vista?
Average gross rent in Buena Vista is $1,430/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Buena Vista residents are renters?
16% of Buena Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Seminole). The neighborhood has 20,575 residents.
Q5
Is Buena Vista a high social-vulnerability area?
Buena Vista sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Buena Vista have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Buena Vista is census tract 12103025111 (score 4.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.8, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Buena Vista for landlords?
Buena Vista carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seminole as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Buena Vista?
Buena Vista has 20,035 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Hispanic / Latino (5.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
