Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole
Tract 12103025113 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,159 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 12103025113 covers part of the Buena Vista area of Seminole, FL, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 20% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$74,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8544, -82.7993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buena Vista scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,384 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Buena Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,384 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Seminole commands.
Court records carry 60 eviction filings across 18 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025113
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025113?
Census tract 12103025113 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025113?
Median gross rent is $1,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025113?
5.0% of residents in tract 12103025113 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025113?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 92th, minority 26th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025113 considered part of Buena Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025113 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025113?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025113 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025113 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025113 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025113 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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