Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,295 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunedin
Tract 12103026821 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,959 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12103026821 covers the Spanish Pines neighborhood of Dunedin in Florida. Home to 2,959 residents, it scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,067 a month while the average household earns $97,669 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$97,669
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0461, -82.7336 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Pines scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,067 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
3.5
How Spanish Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 18 yrs
- 1.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2005)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 21Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spanish Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Pines
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dunedin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 99 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.3% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026821
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026821?
Census tract 12103026821 in the Spanish Pines neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026821?
Median gross rent is $2,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026821?
12.2% of residents in tract 12103026821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026821?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 71th, minority 35th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026821 considered part of Spanish Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026821 fall within Spanish Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026821?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026821 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.99% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026821 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026821 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103026821 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Dunedin at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103026200
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related