Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunedin
Tract 12103026821 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,959 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12103026821 sits in the Spanish Pines area of Clearwater eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$97,669
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0461, -82.7336 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Pines scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,067 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
3.5
How Spanish Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 18 yrs
- 1.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2005)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 21Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spanish Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Pines
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $2,067 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Clearwater commands. Cost burden runs 46% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 99 evictions over 18 years of observation. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $97,669.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026821
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026821?
Census tract 12103026821 in the Spanish Pines neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026821?
Median gross rent is $2,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026821?
12.2% of residents in tract 12103026821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026821?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 71th, minority 35th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026821 considered part of Spanish Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026821 fall within Spanish Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026821?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026821 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.99% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026821 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026821 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103026821 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Dunedin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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