Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunedin
Tract 12103026904 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,361 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 12103026904 covers part of the Spanish Pines area of Dunedin, FL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,361. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,159
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$51,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0329, -82.7458 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Pines scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,431 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
6.4
How Spanish Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 677Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 111Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spanish Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Pines
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $51,208 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 677 evictions over 18 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,431, 15% below the Dunedin average. Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026904?
Census tract 12103026904 in the Spanish Pines neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026904?
Median gross rent is $1,431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026904?
14.6% of residents in tract 12103026904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,361.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 35th, minority 26th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026904 considered part of Spanish Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026904 fall within Spanish Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 677 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.87% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026904 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026904 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103026904 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dunedin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbor View
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Victoria Palms
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Barrington Hills
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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