Skip to content
Neighborhood · Dunedin, FL

Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 18,638 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 1.9–3.6

Spanish Pines is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dunedin with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,638 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,606/month sits 4% lower than the Dunedin citywide average ($1,675).

Risk score
2.7
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Spanish Pines vs Dunedin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.8% +55%
Dunedin: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,606 -4%
Dunedin: $1,675
Average HH income
$80,808 +19%
Dunedin: $68,068
Poverty rate
8.2% -6%
Dunedin: 8.7%
Renter share
25.3% -12%
Dunedin: 28.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spanish Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.9–3.6

Why Spanish Pines scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–5.5 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–8.8 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 3.5–6.8 across tracts
5.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–7.1 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.6 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.5 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Spanish Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Spanish Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Spanish Pines: 2.72.7Spanish PinesNeighborhoodParent city: 2.42.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Spanish Pines?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 1.9 to 3.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Spanish Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103026904 3.6 4,361 60% $1,431
12103026821 3.4 2,959 46% $2,067
12103026908 2.6 4,178 44% $1,192
12103027208 1.9 7,140 59% $1,765
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Spanish Pines

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,032Total filings (sum)
  • 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 2.67%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 213Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Spanish Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Spanish Pines?

Spanish Pines scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Spanish Pines compare to Dunedin overall?

Spanish Pines scores 0.3 points higher than Dunedin overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,606 vs $1,675.
Q3

What is the average rent in Spanish Pines?

Average gross rent in Spanish Pines is $1,606/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Spanish Pines residents are renters?

25% of Spanish Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Dunedin). The neighborhood has 18,638 residents.
Q5

Is Spanish Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

Spanish Pines sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Spanish Pines have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Spanish Pines is census tract 12103026904 (score 3.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.9 to 3.6, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Spanish Pines for landlords?

Spanish Pines carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dunedin as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Spanish Pines?

Spanish Pines has 18,317 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Spanish Pines

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dunedin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Spanish Pines.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further