Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunedin
Tract 12103027208 · Pinellas, FL · pop 7,140 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 12103027208 covers part of the Spanish Pines area of Palm Harbor, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,140. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,629
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$92,407
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0592, -82.7503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Pines scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,765 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
7.1
How Spanish Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 194Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2015)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 73Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spanish Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Pines
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.
Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 194 evictions over 18 years of observation.
It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027208?
Census tract 12103027208 in the Spanish Pines neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027208?
Median gross rent is $1,765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027208?
2.7% of residents in tract 12103027208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,140.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 20th, minority 25th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027208 considered part of Spanish Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027208 fall within Spanish Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.90% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027208 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027208 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103027208 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Dunedin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Westlake Village
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103027318
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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