Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103028602 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,764 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 12103028602 in the Downtown area of St. Petersburg, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,235
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$83,249
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7631, -82.6276 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$2,022 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 69Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
At $2,022 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $83,249.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028602?
Census tract 12103028602 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028602?
Median gross rent is $2,022/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028602?
17.3% of residents in tract 12103028602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,764.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 10th, minority 42th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028602 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028602 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103028602 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103028602 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103028602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related