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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 6,436 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–4.3

Downtown spans 3 census tracts of St. Petersburg, FL and houses 6,436 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 67% against 33.9% citywide, putting Downtown 33.1% over its own city.

37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.3. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Average gross rent is $1,794, 8% above the St. Petersburg average of $1,663. Among the 42 mapped neighborhoods of St. Petersburg, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, North Kenwood and Historic Uptown score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $79,887.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.0% +98%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,794 +8%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$79,887 +1%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
14.8% +27%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
51.1% +37%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.3

Why Downtown scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
67% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
14.8% below poverty line · Range 2.8–4.3 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.2 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7DowntownNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 3 to 4.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103021502 4.3 1,458 71% $1,647
12103028602 3.9 2,764 69% $2,022
12103021501 3 2,214 62% $1,606
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 258Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.52×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Downtown scores 0.2 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,794 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,794/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

51% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 6,436 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 12103021502 (score 4.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.3, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 6,696 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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