Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 6,436 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3–4

Downtown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,436 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 67% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,794/month sits 8% higher than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

67.0% +98%

St. Petersburg: 33.9%

Average gross rent

$1,794 +8%

St. Petersburg: $1,663

Average HH income

$79,887 +1%

St. Petersburg: $78,724

Poverty rate

14.8% +27%

St. Petersburg: 11.7%

Renter share

51.1% +37%

St. Petersburg: 37.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4

Why Downtown scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

67% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

51% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

14.8% below poverty line · Range 2.8–4.3 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.2 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 3 to 4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.0 3.6 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103021502	4	1,458	71%	$1,647
12103028602	3.6	2,764	69%	$2,022
12103021501	3	2,214	62%	$1,606

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 11%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

258Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly observed
1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
1.52×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Downtown

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Downtown scores 0.8 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,794 vs $1,663.

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,794/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

51% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 6,436 residents.

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 12103021502 (score 4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 6,696 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

2.9 Historic Old Northeast 3 tracts · pop 5,665 3.5 Historic Uptown 2 tracts · pop 3,599 3.4 Euclid-St. Paul 2 tracts · pop 4,178 3 Lake Maggiore Shores 2 tracts · pop 9,399 3.8 Highland Oaks 2 tracts · pop 6,067 4.1 Lakewood Terrace 2 tracts · pop 6,541

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

3.5 Meadowlawn 4 tracts · pop 18,257 3.5 Historic Uptown 2 tracts · pop 3,599 3.5 North Kenwood 1 tracts · pop 3,168 3.4 Euclid-St. Paul 2 tracts · pop 4,178 3.6 Edgemoor 1 tracts · pop 4,057 3.4 Greater Woodlawn 1 tracts · pop 3,154

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