Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Creekbend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lakeland
Tract 12105011901 ·
Polk, FL · pop 5,090 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the Creekbend area of Lakeland, census tract 12105011901 scores 4.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,220 a month while the average household earns $53,009 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 21%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,991
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$53,009
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Creekbend
Moderate
Within parent city
76th percentile
#10 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
High
Within county
85th percentile
#27 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
88th percentile
#596 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 27.9782, -81.9699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creekbend scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,220 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Creekbend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
77%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
576Total filings over 17 yrs
5.46%Avg annual filing rate
9.9%Peak (2005)
16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2017
Filings dropped 52% over the past 17 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creekbend
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 576 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105011901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011901?
Census tract 12105011901 in the Creekbend neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105011901?
Median gross rent is $1,220/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011901?
25.6% of residents in tract 12105011901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 95th, minority 68th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12105011901 considered part of Creekbend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105011901 fall within Creekbend (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 576 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12105011901 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105011901 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.