Census Tract · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12105012003 ·
Polk, FL · pop 6,332 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland
For landlords sizing up Lakeland in Polk County, census tract 12105012003 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,548 a month against an average household income of $65,139 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 10%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units3,081
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$65,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
29th percentile
#28 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Low
Within county
36th percentile
#112 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
54th percentile
#2,345 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
41th percentile
#49,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 28.0105, -81.9841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,548 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
660Total filings over 17 yrs
6.51%Avg annual filing rate
9.3%Peak (2016)
37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2017
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 660 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.3% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105012003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012003?
Census tract 12105012003 in Lakeland scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105012003?
Median gross rent is $1,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012003?
7.4% of residents in tract 12105012003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,332.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 66th, minority 38th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 660 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.51% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105012003 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105012003 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.