Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12105012304 · Polk, FL · pop 5,393 · 17% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 12105012304 in Lakeland in Polk County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,393 residents. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,685 a month while the average household earns $106,522 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,864
Renter share14.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$106,522
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 28.1466, -81.9188 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,685 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2013)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 68 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.7% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105012304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012304?
Census tract 12105012304 in Lakeland scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105012304?
Median gross rent is $1,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012304?
6.7% of residents in tract 12105012304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,393.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 60th, minority 38th, housing 15th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.91% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105012304 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105012304 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105011203
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105011100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105011204
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105016400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105012002
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105010800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105012309
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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