Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Dundee Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014121 · Polk, FL · pop 3,517 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Dundee
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 12105014121 in Dundee, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,517 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,344
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$58,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dundee and the region
Centroid at 28.0515, -81.6004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dundee scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dundee
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,672 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundee
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundee
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundee
9.3
How Dundee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 56Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dundee
Cost burden runs 31% here against 45.8% across Polk County. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $58,788 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. The voucher gap is 25.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.8% against 11.3% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 filings here across 16 tracked years.
It sits 0.6 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014121?
Census tract 12105014121 in Dundee scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014121?
Median gross rent is $1,672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014121?
17.1% of residents in tract 12105014121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,517.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 47th, minority 78th, housing 53th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014121?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105014121 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105014121 compare to Dundee overall?
Tract 12105014121 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dundee at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dundee
Top eight tracts in Dundee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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