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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Dundee Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014121 · Polk, FL · pop 3,517 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Dundee

Dundee in Polk County anchors census tract 12105014121, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,672 monthly, set against $58,788 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 12% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,344
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$58,788

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Dundee
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundee and the region

Centroid at 28.0515, -81.6004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dundee scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundee
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,672 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundee
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundee
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundee
9.3

How Dundee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dundee risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 014121Dundee: 2.22.2Dundeeparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 56Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2016)
  • 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050141212000: 5 filings (7.81/100 renter HHs)2001: 3 filings (4.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2008: 1 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (1.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (2.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dundee

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundee, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014121

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014121?

Census tract 12105014121 in Dundee scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014121?

Median gross rent is $1,672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014121?

17.1% of residents in tract 12105014121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,517.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014121?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 47th, minority 78th, housing 53th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014121?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105014121 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105014121 compare to Dundee overall?

Tract 12105014121 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dundee at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundee

Top eight tracts in Dundee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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