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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011604 · Polk, FL · pop 5,220 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Auburndale

Eviction risk in Auburndale centers on tract 12105011604, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,220 residents. On the national scale it ranks #35,491 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,013 monthly, set against $49,672 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 21% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,234
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$49,672

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.0754, -81.8285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,013 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 011604Auburndale: 2.22.2Auburndaleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 878Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 13.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.9%Peak (2007)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050116042000: 53 filings (15.36/100 renter HHs)2001: 72 filings (20.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 45 filings (13.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 46 filings (13.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 58 filings (16.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 82 filings (29.48/100 renter HHs)2007: 86 filings (30.92/100 renter HHs)2008: 39 filings (14.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (12.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (6.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (5.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 36 filings (7.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 66 filings (13.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 62 filings (12.45/100 renter HHs)2015: 56 filings (11.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 51 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2017: 31 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Auburndale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 878 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 13.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 30.9% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011604?

Census tract 12105011604 in Auburndale scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011604?

Median gross rent is $1,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011604?

17.7% of residents in tract 12105011604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,220.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 68th, minority 55th, housing 28th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 878 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.93% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011604 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105011604 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Auburndale at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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