Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014304 · Polk, FL · pop 2,550 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales

12105014304 is a census tract in Lake Wales, FL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 74%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 7% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units987

Renter share35.9%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate13.6%

Median income$49,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region

Centroid at 27.8972, -81.5735 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Wales scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Wales

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.6% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,345 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Wales

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Wales

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Wales

8.9

How Lake Wales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales

80% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Polk County average of 45.8%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $49,219 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $1,345 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Lake Wales commands. It sits 0.6 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014304

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014304?

Census tract 12105014304 in Lake Wales scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105014304?

Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014304?

13.6% of residents in tract 12105014304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 56th, minority 49th, housing 63th.

How does tract 12105014304 compare to Lake Wales overall?

Tract 12105014304 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales

Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.