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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013702 · Polk, FL · pop 6,688 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105013702 (Winter Haven, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,327 a month against an average household income of $48,578 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 19% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,515
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$48,578

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0332, -81.7069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 013702Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 792Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.7%Peak (2007)
  • 51Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050137022000: 34 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2001: 51 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 48 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 50 filings (8.17/100 renter HHs)2004: 39 filings (6.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (8.35/100 renter HHs)2007: 83 filings (18.74/100 renter HHs)2008: 53 filings (11.96/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 39 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (6.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (8.74/100 renter HHs)2014: 51 filings (8.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 50 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2016: 46 filings (5.97/100 renter HHs)2017: 51 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 792 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.7% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013702?

Census tract 12105013702 in Winter Haven scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013702?

Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013702?

15.2% of residents in tract 12105013702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 36th, minority 67th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 792 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.15% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013702 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013702 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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