Gulf Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $62,760, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.

Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 2.6% of renter households were served. At $1,915 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Gulf Gate commands.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.