Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casselberry
Tract 12117022207 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,757 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
12117022207 is a census tract in the Lost Creek area of Seminole County, FL. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,757. Against Seminole County at 52.5%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,449
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$79,021
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casselberry and the region
Centroid at 28.6330, -81.2717 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lost Creek scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casselberry
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,832 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casselberry
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casselberry
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casselberry
5.0
How Lost Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek
Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Seminole County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,832 a month.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $79,021. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12117022207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022207?
Census tract 12117022207 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12117022207?
Median gross rent is $1,832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022207?
11.0% of residents in tract 12117022207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 79th, minority 62th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12117022207 considered part of Lost Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022207 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12117022207 compare to Casselberry overall?
Tract 12117022207 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Casselberry at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related