Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #55,092 of 84,120 nationally
Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Casselberry
Tract 12117022207 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,757 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Lost Creek area of Casselberry, census tract 12117022207 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #59,453 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,832 monthly, set against $79,021 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,449
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$79,021
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casselberry and the region
Centroid at 28.6330, -81.2717 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lost Creek scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casselberry
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,832 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casselberry
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casselberry
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casselberry
5.0
How Lost Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casselberry, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Seminole County average of 5.2 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12117022207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022207?
Census tract 12117022207 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12117022207?
Median gross rent is $1,832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022207?
11.0% of residents in tract 12117022207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 79th, minority 62th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12117022207 considered part of Lost Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022207 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12117022207 compare to Casselberry overall?
Tract 12117022207 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Casselberry at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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