Neighborhood · Ranked #49,613 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casselberry

Tract 12117022206 · Seminole, FL · pop 6,117 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12117022206 (Lost Creek in Casselberry, Florida) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,728 a month against an average household income of $73,313 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 13% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,734

Renter share41.3%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$73,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6317, -81.3025 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casselberry

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,728 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casselberry

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casselberry

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casselberry

7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casselberry, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Seminole County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022206

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022206?

Census tract 12117022206 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022206?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022206?

12.2% of residents in tract 12117022206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,117.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 57th, minority 56th, housing 56th.

Is tract 12117022206 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022206 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117022206 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022206 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Casselberry at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.