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Neighborhood · Casselberry, FL

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 28,490 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 2.6-4.1

Lost Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Casselberry with 5 census tracts and a population of 28,490 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,743/month sits 4% higher than the Casselberry citywide average ($1,674).

Risk score
3.5
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
Lost Creek vs Casselberry How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.7% +60%
Casselberry: 34.2%
Average gross rent
$1,743 +4%
Casselberry: $1,674
Average HH income
$79,484 +37%
Casselberry: $57,816
Poverty rate
11.9% -13%
Casselberry: 13.7%
Renter share
32.1% -21%
Casselberry: 40.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lost Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 2.6-4.1

Why Lost Creek scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5-1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1-5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 1.5-6.5 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.5-9.1 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4-5.0 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0-9.3 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0-8.1 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
11.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2-3.6 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1-4.8 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Lost Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Lost Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lost Creek: 3.53.5Lost CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.23.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lost Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 2.6 to 4.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Lost Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12117022206 4.1 6,117 68% $1,728
12117022207 3.7 6,757 69% $1,832
12117022106 3.6 8,357 39% $1,741
12117022205 3.1 3,365 43% $1,390
12117022209 2.6 3,894 54% $1,924
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Lost Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lost Creek?

Lost Creek scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Lost Creek compare to Casselberry overall?

Lost Creek scores 0.3 points lower than Casselberry overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,743 vs $1,674.

Q3

What is the average rent in Lost Creek?

Average gross rent in Lost Creek is $1,743/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Lost Creek residents are renters?

32% of Lost Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Casselberry). The neighborhood has 28,490 residents.

Q5

Is Lost Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Lost Creek sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Lost Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lost Creek is census tract 12117022206 (score 4.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 4.1, a spread of 1.5 points.

Q7

How safe is Lost Creek for landlords?

Lost Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casselberry as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lost Creek?

Lost Creek has 29,028 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.7%), Hispanic / Latino (23.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lost Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Casselberry

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lost Creek.

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