5 census tracts · pop 28,490 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 3.7–5.8
Lost Creek is a 5-tract neighborhood of Casselberry, FL, population 28,490. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Casselberry baseline of 34.2%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.7 to 5.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 3/10. Average gross rent runs $1,743, close to the Casselberry average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,484. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Lost Creek vs CasselberryHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Lost Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lost Creek?
Lost Creek scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lost Creek compare to Casselberry overall?
Lost Creek scores 0.6 points higher than Casselberry overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,743 vs $1,674.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lost Creek?
Average gross rent in Lost Creek is $1,743/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lost Creek residents are renters?
32% of Lost Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Casselberry). The neighborhood has 28,490 residents.
Q5
Is Lost Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Lost Creek sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lost Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lost Creek is census tract 12117022209 (score 5.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.8, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Lost Creek for landlords?
Lost Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casselberry as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lost Creek?
Lost Creek has 29,028 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.7%), Hispanic / Latino (23.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
