Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #70,218 of 84,120 nationally
Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Casselberry
Tract 12117022209 · Seminole, FL · pop 3,894 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 12117022209 runs through Lost Creek in Casselberry. With 3,894 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,924 monthly, set against $85,046 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$85,046
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casselberry and the region
Centroid at 28.6176, -81.2920 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lost Creek scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casselberry
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,924 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casselberry
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casselberry
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casselberry
8.1
How Lost Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casselberry, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Seminole County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12117022209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022209?
Census tract 12117022209 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12117022209?
Median gross rent is $1,924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022209?
14.5% of residents in tract 12117022209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,894.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 54th, minority 52th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 12117022209 considered part of Lost Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022209 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12117022209 compare to Casselberry overall?
Tract 12117022209 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Casselberry at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry
Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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