Neighborhood · Ranked #63,365 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Casselberry

Tract 12117022205 · Seminole, FL · pop 3,365 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 12117022205, in the Lost Creek area of Casselberry, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,365. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,390 a month while the average household earns $90,890 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,528

Renter share12.4%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$90,890

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6435, -81.2980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casselberry

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$1,390 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casselberry

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casselberry

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casselberry

7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casselberry, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Seminole County average of 5.2 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022205

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022205?

Census tract 12117022205 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022205?

Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022205?

5.0% of residents in tract 12117022205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,365.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 55th, minority 54th, housing 29th.

Is tract 12117022205 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022205 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117022205 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022205 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Casselberry at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.