Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Casselberry

Tract 12117022205 · Seminole, FL · pop 3,365 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

12117022205 is a census tract in the Lost Creek area of Casselberry, FL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,365 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,528

Renter share12.4%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$90,890

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6435, -81.2980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casselberry

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$1,390 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casselberry

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casselberry

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casselberry

7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Seminole County at 52.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $1,390 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Casselberry commands. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Seminole County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $90,890.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022205

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022205?

Census tract 12117022205 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022205?

Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022205?

5.0% of residents in tract 12117022205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,365.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 55th, minority 54th, housing 29th.

Is tract 12117022205 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022205 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12117022205 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022205 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Casselberry at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.