Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Lost Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casselberry

Tract 12117022106 · Seminole, FL · pop 8,357 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 12117022106 covers part of the Lost Creek area of Casselberry, FL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Seminole County at 52.5%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units3,327
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$77,192

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Lost Creek
High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Casselberry
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 89 tracts In Seminole
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,051 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casselberry and the region

Centroid at 28.6508, -81.2934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lost Creek scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casselberry
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,741 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casselberry
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casselberry
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casselberry
7.4

How Lost Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lost Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0221064.2Casselberryparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lost Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lost Creek

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

It sits 0.8 points above the Seminole County average of 4.2. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,741, close to the Casselberry average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $77,192.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022106?

Census tract 12117022106 in the Lost Creek neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117022106?

Median gross rent is $1,741/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022106?

13.8% of residents in tract 12117022106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,357.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 68th, minority 51th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 12117022106 considered part of Lost Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12117022106 fall within Lost Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12117022106 compare to Casselberry overall?

Tract 12117022106 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Casselberry at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casselberry; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casselberry

Top eight tracts in Casselberry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related